عوامل اثرگذار سیاسی، اقتصادی و هزینه‌بر فرار سرمایه در کشورهای منتخب نفتی

نوع مقاله : مقاله پژوهشی

نویسندگان

1 ٭ مربی، دانشگاه پیام نور، تهران، ایران

2 پژوهشگر پسادکتری، دانشکده اقتصاد، دانشگاه تهران، تهران

3 دانشجوی دکتری اقتصاد، دانشکده اقتصاد، مدیریت و حسابداری، دانشگاه یزد، یزد، ایران

4 دانشیار دانشکده اقتصاد، مدیریت و حسابداری، دانشگاه یزد، یزد، ایران

چکیده

یکی از عوامل مهم توسعه اقتصادی، فراهم کردن سرمایه کافی جهت رشد و توسعه است که جوامع مختلف برای تأمین آن به ورود سرمایه‌های خارجی و جذب سرمایه‌های داخلی نیازمندند. این موضوع درحالی است که کشورهای در حال توسعه و توسعه‌نیافته با معضل فرار سرمایه مواجه‌اند، که رفع آن نیازمند بررسی‌های علمی و همه‌جانبه در جهت ارائه راه‌حل است. در این راستا، هدف اصلی این مطالعه بررسی عوامل مؤثر بر فرار سرمایه در کشورهای منتخب نفتی (آنگولا، آذربایجان، برزیل، کلمبیا، مصر، اندونزی، ایران، قزاقستان، مکزیک، مالزی، نیجریه و تونس) طی سال‌های 1352 تا 1392 است که برای انجام آن،  اثر متغیرهای رشد ناخالص داخلی، نرخ ارز، ثبات سیاسی، آزادی مالی و درجه باز بودن اقتصاد بر فرار سرمایه، با استفاده از روش حداقل مربعات معمولی اصلاح‌شده، بررسی شد.نتایج بیانگر آن است که افزایش رشد ناخالص داخلی و نرخ ارز، اثر مثبت و افزایش ثبات سیاسی، آزادی مالی و درجه باز بودن اثر منفی بر فرار سرمایه داشته‌اند.

کلیدواژه‌ها

عنوان مقاله [English]

Effective Political, Economic, and Cost Factors on Capital Flight in Selected Oil Countries

نویسندگان [English]

  • Mohammad Mahdi Zare Shahneh 1
  • Madjid Hatefi Madjumerd 2
  • Omolbanin Jalali 3
  • Zahra Nasrollahi 4
1 phd candidate
2 Ph.D in Economics, Department of Economics,University of Sistan and Baluchestan
3 Ph.D Candidate in Economics, Department of Economics, Yazd University
4 Associate Professor, Department of Economics, Yazd University
چکیده [English]

An important factor in economic development is the provision of sufficient capital for growth and development; which the various societies require to enter foreign capital and attract domestic capital, to provide it. This is while the developing and underdeveloped countries are facing a capital flight, which eliminate it, requires scientific and immersive studies to provide a solution. In this regard, the main objective of this study was to investigate the factors affecting capital flight in selected oil’s counties (Angola, Azerbaijan, Brazil, Colombia, Egypt, Indonesia, Iran, Kazakhstan, Mexico, Malaysia, Nigeria and Tunisia) during the years 1352 to 1392; That's for doing it, the effects of GDP growth, exchange rates, political stability, financial freedom and degree of openness of the economy, on capital flight were examined by usage of Fully Modified Ordinary Least Squares method. Results indicate that GDP growth. Results indicate that GDP growth and exchange rate effect positively and increase in political stability, financial freedom and openness had a negative effect on capital flight.

کلیدواژه‌ها [English]

  • Capital Flight
  • Political Stability
  • Financial Freedom

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